World Cup 2026 Favourites vs Dark Horses: An Honest Read

Group stage runs into late June; the round of 32 begins on June 28 with the final on July 19.

Spain, France and Argentina remain the clearest favourites; holders Argentina still lean on Messi's goals.

Germany clawed back to beat Ivory Coast, a reminder that the seeded teams are winning ugly, not easy.

Morocco, Croatia, Japan and hosts USA are the dark horses with a real path deep into the bracket.

A 48-team format and best-third-placed slots mean a soft round of 32 can flatter contenders.